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Intelligence Dispatch

Latest research and field reports.

Research papers, case studies, and analysis from the Fractalysium team.

Research/02

Detecting Wildfires in Under 60 Seconds Using Meteosat Thermal Data

Our wildfire detection system identifies ignition events from Meteosat rapid scan thermal data and delivers actionable alerts with spread trajectory forecasts in under 60 seconds. We explain how the system works and what it means for fire response.

March 20268 min read
Field Report/03

What Sentinel-1 SAR Found in European Waters Over 72 Hours

A maritime intelligence exercise using Sentinel-1 radar satellite data cross referenced against vessel transponder records identified eleven vessels operating without identification in European waters. We describe the detection process and what it means operationally.

February 20267 min read
Policy/04

Why Open Satellite Data Is the Foundation of Sovereign Intelligence

The Copernicus Earth Observation Programme provides free, legally open satellite data governed by European law. We explain why this is the correct foundation for European intelligence systems and what it means for data sovereignty.

January 20268 min read
Case Study/05

Forecasting the Wheat Harvest 62 Days Early Across the Danube Basin

Using Sentinel-2 vegetation data fused with ERA5 soil moisture, we produced district level winter wheat yield forecasts 62 days ahead of harvest with a mean prediction error of 4.3 percent across 340 European districts.

December 20256 min read
Technical Paper/06

Designing Satellite Intelligence Systems for EU AI Act Compliance

AI systems used in emergency response, border monitoring, and critical infrastructure management are classified as high risk under the EU AI Act. We explain what this means in practice and how we have built compliance into our platform from the ground up.

November 20259 min read